Fedin koronnosto - kerrasta poikki?

VIDEO: Mikäli Fed alkaa nostaa korkoja ennakoimaansa hitaaseen tahtiin, sillä ei ole lähitulevaisuudessa juurikaan vaikutusta yrityslainojen korkoihin.

Dave Sekera, CFA 16.12.2015
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Dave Sekera: It has been an unprecedented seven years since the Fed lowered the federal-funds rate to its current zero interest-rate policy. While economic growth has been generally lackluster since the recession ended 25 quarters ago, there have only been two quarters of negative real GDP growth, and unemployment has dropped from 10% to 5%. Thus far this year, GDP has risen at an average rate of approximately 2.25% and the monthly increase in payrolls has averaged over 200,000 per month. Wage growth has also finally started to pick up, rising 2.6% this year. For 2016, we expect U.S. GDP growth will expand at a pace of 2% to 2.5%. With the credit crisis well behind us, unemployment declining to its long-run central tendency, and positive economic growth ahead of us, this backdrop should be sufficient to persuade the Fed to begin raising short-term rates this month.

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Dave Sekera, CFA  Dave Sekera, CFA, is a senior securities analyst with Morningstar.

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